How can we reduce the probability of dying before age 70 by 50% globally by 2050?
- Date:
- October 14, 2024
- Source:
- The University of Bergen
- Summary:
- A team of 50 leading international experts found that this goal can be reached by focusing on just 15 priority health conditions and suggest cost-effective interventions.
- Share:
A team of 50 leading international experts, the Lancet Commission on Investing in Health (CIH), explored this question, resulting in clear, actionable, and achievable measures for achieving this ambitious goal worldwide. Six of the 50 commission members are affiliated with the Bergen Centre for Ethics and Priority Setting in Health (BCEPS), a Norwegian Centre of Excellence based at the University of Bergen, Norway, including BCEPS Director and Professor Ole Frithjof Norheim, BCEPS PhD Research Fellow Sarah Bolongaita, and BCEPS-affiliated researchers Angela Chang (University of Southern Denmark), Dean T. Jamison (University of California, San Francisco), Stéphane Verguet (Harvard University), and David Watkins (University of Washington).
Their report will be released on Tuesday, October 15, 2024, when CIH members will give a keynote presentation of their findings at the World Health Summit in Berlin, Germany.
The report will be freely available to the public at https://globalhealth2050.org, and the presentation given at the World Health Summit on October 15, 2024.
According to the authors, the "50 by 50" goal, a 50% reduction in the probability of premature death (death before age 70), can be achieved by focusing on 15 priority conditions, eight related to infectious diseases and maternal health and seven related to non-communicable diseases and injuries.
Besides the scale-up of investments and services for these 15 priority health conditions, raising taxes on tobacco can do more to reduce premature mortality than any other single health policy.
In addition, the report estimates that there is a greater than 20% chance in the next 10 years of a pandemic that kills at least 25 million people -- a magnitude similar to that of the COVID-19 pandemic, making pandemic preparedness and response critical.
The Global Health 2050 report offers a pathway for high-, middle- and low-income nations to drastically improve human welfare and life expectancy by 2050.
Story Source:
Materials provided by The University of Bergen. Original written by Jana Wilbricht. Note: Content may be edited for style and length.
Journal Reference:
- Dean T Jamison, Lawrence H Summers, Angela Y Chang, Omar Karlsson, Wenhui Mao, Ole F Norheim, Osondu Ogbuoji, Marco Schäferhoff, David Watkins, Olusoji Adeyi, George Alleyne, Ala Alwan, Shuchi Anand, Ruth Belachew, Seth F Berkley, Stefano M Bertozzi, Sarah Bolongaita, Donald Bundy, Flavia Bustreo, Marcia C Castro, Simiao Chen, Victoria Y Fan, Ayodamope Fawole, Richard Feachem, Lia Gebremedhin, Jayati Ghosh, Sue J Goldie, Eduardo Gonzalez-Pier, Yan Guo, Sanjeev Gupta, Prabhat Jha, Felicia Marie Knaul, Margaret E Kruk, Christoph Kurowski, Gordon G Liu, Saeda Makimoto, Awad Mataria, Rachel Nugent, Hitoshi Oshitani, Ariel Pablos-Mendez, Richard Peto, Neelam Sekhri Feachem, Srinath Reddy, Nisreen Salti, Helen Saxenian, Justina Seyi-Olajide, Agnes Soucat, Stéphane Verguet, Armand Zimmerman, Gavin Yamey. Global health 2050: the path to halving premature death by mid-century. The Lancet, 2024; DOI: 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)01439-9
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