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Easy tool helps estimate fall risks

Researchers develop method to calculate the probability of a fall for older adults

Date:
August 1, 2024
Source:
Osaka Metropolitan University
Summary:
Researchers have developed a formula and easy-to-use assessment tool for estimating fall risks using a database of older adults. Preventing falls among older adults is expected to extend life expectancy and reduce medical and nursing care costs.
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An aging society has posed a new global problem, the risk of falling. It is estimated that 1 in 3 adults over the age of 65 falls each year and the resulting injuries are becoming more prevalent.

To tackle this growing issue, Associate Professor Hiromitsu Toyoda and Specially Appointed Professor Tadashi Okano from Osaka Metropolitan University's Graduate School of Medicine, together with Professor Chisato Hayashi from the University of Hyogo, have developed a formula and assessment tool for estimating fall risks that is simple for older adults to use. The tool was developed using data collected from older adults over a ten-year period from April 2010 to December 2019.

The research team reviewed a total of 7,726 physical tests and data from the Japanese government's Kihon Checklist self-reporting questionnaire of 2,381 participants who participated in community-based exercise groups. The data was analyzed under a contractual agreement between Sumoto City in Hyogo Prefecture and the University of Hyogo.

A history of falls and the inability to stand on one leg were previously reported as the primary indicators for fall risks, but the recent analysis found that poor oral and cognitive function were also contributing factors. Additionally, short-term participation in the exercise program was found to be ineffective.

"We believe that this tool will provide valuable information to health care providers for screening older adults at risk for falls and assist them in prevention and follow-up care," said Professor Toyoda. "We hope that municipalities will make extensive use of the system because preventing falls among older adults not only extends their life expectancy, but also helps control medical and long-term care costs."

The results were published in Osteoporosis International.


Story Source:

Materials provided by Osaka Metropolitan University. Note: Content may be edited for style and length.


Journal Reference:

  1. Chisato Hayashi, Tadashi Okano, Hiromitsu Toyoda. Development and validation of a prediction model for falls among older people using community-based data. Osteoporosis International, 2024; DOI: 10.1007/s00198-024-07148-8

Cite This Page:

Osaka Metropolitan University. "Easy tool helps estimate fall risks." ScienceDaily. ScienceDaily, 1 August 2024. <www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2024/08/240801012126.htm>.
Osaka Metropolitan University. (2024, August 1). Easy tool helps estimate fall risks. ScienceDaily. Retrieved September 9, 2024 from www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2024/08/240801012126.htm
Osaka Metropolitan University. "Easy tool helps estimate fall risks." ScienceDaily. www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2024/08/240801012126.htm (accessed September 9, 2024).

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