As oceans warm, large fish struggle

The model is based on physicochemical principles that look at oxygen consumption and diffusion at the gill surface in relation to water temperature and body size. Predictions were compared against actual measurements from over 200 fish species where oxygen consumption rates were measured at different water temperatures and across individuals of different body sizes.

Fish will need more oxygen than their gills can extract from warming water

"Our data suggest that, as temperature increases, the demand for oxygen of many fish species will exceed their capacity to extract oxygen from the environment through their gills," explains Juan Rubalcaba, a Marie-Curie Postdoctoral Fellow at McGill, and lead author on the paper. "As a result, the aerobic capacity of fish decreases in warming waters, and this reduction may be more important in larger fishes. This tells us that global warming could limit the aerobic capacity of fish, impairing their physiological performance in the future."

"Water temperature is already rising worldwide as a consequence of climate change and many fish species need to cope with this rapid temperature change, either by migrating toward colder regions or by adopting different life strategies such as shrinking in size over generations in order to avoid respiratory constraints," said Art Woods, a professor of biological sciences at the University of Montana, and the senior author on the paper. "By including oxygen, this model stands apart by predicting observed patterns of variation in metabolic rate among fishes worldwide than current theories, which focus primarily on body size and temperature."

The research was funded by the European Commission's Marie Sk?odowska-Curie Individual Fellowship